The last round of the 2016 Masters was not the most pleasant thing to watch. Danny Willett was a deserving winner, but Jordan Spieth's quadruple bogey on the 12th hole is going to be remembered for a long time. But if you like hole-in-one's, then Sunday at Augusta this year was the place to be. There were 3 of them at 16, including Louis Oosthuizen's even-more-improbable-than-normal ace, which bounced off of J.B Holmes' ball and into the hole. Now, I've made two aces, and I can assure you that while some skill is obviously involved, actually getting that hole-in-one is mostly luck.
If you want to analyze this particular shot using math, here's a fun little article on the physics of this hole-in-one, and just how improbable it was. Spoiler: it's pretty unlikely.
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